Monday, December 20, 2010

It's that time of the decade again

A decent breakdown from of the upcoming Congressional reapportionment resulting from the 2010 Census:
According to an estimate done in October...states either certain or likely to lose seats in the House include Illinois, New York, New Jersey, Ohio, Michigan, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Louisiana, Massachusetts and Iowa.

...Texas, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, South Carolina, Florida, Georgia and Washington would gain seats, with Texas picking up as many as four.
Whichever way the political or economic winds are blowing, I don't see Dems picking up too many - if any - seats in the House in 2012...Population growth is primarily in states leaning Republican. Minority representation in those states is (generally) limited to urban areas, but a larger minority presence might be a factor in the Democratic Party's favor in Florida, Georgia, and Texas.

That's wishful thinking, most likely. At least when the straight media reports this time that this is bad news for Dems, it won't be much of a stretch. Be sure to look for some really broad and dumb conclusions to be drawn from the numbers of House seats gained or lost, though...

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